WON Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? +$2.2M LOST US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? −$805K WON Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? +$719K WON Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? +$716K WON UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) +$500K WON Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? +$195K WON Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? +$170K WON Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? +$7K WON Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? +$7K WON Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI? +$6K LOST Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? −$6K WON Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle? +$2K LOST Epstein suicide note released by May 8? −$1K LOST Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? −$225