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Trader profile
Kevin-Warsh
Whale
0xaf15…5dd2
Active since Sep 15, 2026 · last trade 4 hours ago
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Win rate
50%
2W · 2L settled
Profit & loss
−$6K
-9% ROI
Betting now
9
open positions
Total traded
$38K
2 large trades
Recent results
newest first
W
W
L
L
Betting on now
9
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
bought 94¢ → 94¢
$33K
−$173
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No
bought 86¢ → 89¢
$18K
+$500
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
bought 38¢ → 39¢
$11K
+$140
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No
bought 98¢ → 98¢
$2K
+$2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes
bought 4¢ → 1¢
$2K
−$2K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes
bought 20¢ → 0¢
$2K
−$2K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No
bought 100¢ → 100¢
$178
+$0
W
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No
bought 74¢ → 60¢
$91
−$18
Biggest settled results
WON
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
+$10K
WON
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
+$4K
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
−$1K
LOST
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
−$1K