Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
78%
7W · 2L settled
Profit & loss
+$5K
0% ROI
Betting now
241
open positions
Total traded
$0
0 large trades
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 241
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$601K
+$226K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$375K
−$226K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$197K
+$5K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
$74K
+$6K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
$54K
−$980
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
$46K
−$304
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
$44K
−$307
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
$26K
+$593
If you’d copied ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Betting a flat $100 on their last 9 settled bets:
+$125 (+14% on $900 staked)
Best bet +$54Worst bet −$3
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
WON
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
+$7K
WON
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
+$612
WON
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
+$192
WON
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?
+$46
WON
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?
+$19
WON
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?
+$9
LOST
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
−$8
LOST
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
−$7
WON
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?
+$6