WON Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? +$147K WON Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? +$95K WON Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? +$75K WON Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? +$50K WON Starmer out by December 31, 2026? +$42K WON Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? +$28K WON Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election? +$25K WON Iran coup attempt by June 30? +$15K WON Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? +$7K LOST Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? −$6K WON Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? +$5K WON Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? +$2K WON Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election? +$500 LOST Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%? −$272