WON Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? +$5K WON Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27? +$5K LOST Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? −$4K WON Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? +$1K WON Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? +$1K WON Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election? +$1K WON Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by July 31, 2026? +$1K WON Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? +$643 LOST Starmer out by June 22, 2026? −$420 WON Trump x Greenland deal signed by January 31? +$410 WON Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15? +$338 LOST Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30? −$41 WON Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? +$3 LOST US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25? −$1