Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
15%
21W · 120L settled
Profit & loss
−$1.1M
-76% ROI
Betting now
6
open positions
Total traded
$88K
4 large trades
Recent results newest first
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
Betting on now 6
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
$5K
+$225
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$924
−$558
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$157
+$20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$8
+$3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$8
−$2
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
$5
−$5
If you’d copied surf
Betting a flat $100 on their last 50 settled bets:
−$2,594 (-52% on $5,000 staked)
Best bet +$89Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
−$175K
LOST
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
−$65K
LOST
Eagles vs. Packers
−$43K
LOST
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
−$43K
LOST
Patriots vs. Bengals
−$37K
LOST
Buccaneers vs. Bills
−$35K
LOST
Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)
−$35K
WON
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
+$35K
LOST
Packers vs. Steelers: O/U 45.5
−$32K
WON
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
+$30K
LOST
Bengals vs. Dolphins
−$30K
LOST
Cowboys vs. Broncos
−$27K
LOST
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
−$27K
LOST
Packers vs. Giants
−$26K