China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Sports · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No95%
Yes6%

Whale money here is backing No$98K from 5 tracked whales.

Total volume
$1.4M
Liquidity
$39K
Whale volume
$129K
Whales tracked
5
Whale trades
10
Whale buy pressure
76%
Probability — No 95%now
97%93%89%
Aug 12 High 95% · Low 91% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Japan between November 17, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Japanese military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in te...
Whales exiting
smallpig avatar smallpigNo$21K
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