Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
100%
6W · 0L settled
Profit & loss
+$78K
1% ROI
Betting now
98
open positions
Total traded
$3M
57 large trades
Recent results newest first
W
W
W
W
W
W
Betting on now 98
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$2.7M
+$908K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1.8M
−$908K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
$1.4M
+$8K
Trump out as President by September 30?
$231K
+$444
Trump out as President before 2027?
$227K
+$7K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
$220K
+$13K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
$203K
+$5K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
$199K
+$577
If you’d copied elmcap2
Betting a flat $100 on their last 6 settled bets:
+$205 (+34% on $600 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet +$0
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
WON
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$89K
WON
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
+$1K
WON
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
+$82
WON
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
+$8
WON
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?
+$0
WON
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
+$0