Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No95%
Yes6%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing No$13K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$80K
Liquidity
$33K
Whale volume
$13K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 95%now
98%95%92%
Sep 16 High 96% · Low 94% Sep 18
Recent whale trades 1
Max3 avatar Max3 BUY No $13K 3h ago
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Whales entering
Max3 avatar Max3No$13K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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