WON US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? +$92K LOST US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? −$38K LOST Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? −$16K WON US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? +$11K WON SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? +$6K WON Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? +$3K WON Will JD Vance clap between 90–99 times during the State of the Union? +$1K WON Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address? +$532 WON Will Nancy Pelosi attend the 2026 State of the Union address? +$518 WON Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026? +$382 WON Nothing Ever Happens +$246 WON Trump out as President by April 30? +$100 WON Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31? +$50 WON U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30? +$31