Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Jul 12, 2026
No100%
Yes0%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing No$30K from 2 tracked whales.

Total volume
$292K
Liquidity
$73K
Whale volume
$30K
Whales tracked
2
Whale trades
2
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 100%now
100%89%79%
Jul 11 High 100% · Low 83% Jul 12
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Iranian government, or an authorized representative of the Iranian government, publicly and officially announces a commitment not to attack ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, between market creation and July 12, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Iran’s present or future policy not to attack ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify a commitment not to attack ships transiting the Strait. Statements that...
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