Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
5%
10W · 178L settled
Profit & loss
−$301K
-77% ROI
Betting now
70
open positions
Total traded
$14K
2 large trades
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 70
W Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
$16K
+$4K
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
$13K
+$72
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
$11K
+$448
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
$9K
−$858
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
$6K
+$3K
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
$5K
+$623
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
$4K
−$523
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
$3K
+$313
If you’d copied 0xfc2f…10c7
Betting a flat $100 on their last 50 settled bets:
−$3,222 (-64% on $5,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
LOST
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
−$42K
WON
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
+$41K
LOST
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
−$15K
LOST
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
−$14K
LOST
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
−$11K
LOST
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
−$10K
LOST
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
−$9K
LOST
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
−$9K
LOST
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
−$8K
LOST
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
−$8K
LOST
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
−$8K
LOST
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
−$7K
LOST
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
−$7K
LOST
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
−$7K