Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No69%
Yes32%

Whale money here is backing No$11K from 2 tracked whales.

Total volume
$302K
Liquidity
$9K
Whale volume
$11K
Whales tracked
2
Whale trades
2
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 69%now
88%74%60%
Aug 12 High 84% · Low 65% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “general closure” refers to a cancellation or suspension of aviation which is generally applicable to all commercial flights transiting Iranian airspace (“Tehran FIR”). A qualifying closure must apply generally to all of Iran or the Tehran FIR; limited cancellations, delays, or partial closures will not qualify. A closure which applies generally to commerc...
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