Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
95%
19W · 1L settled
Profit & loss
−$5K
-6% ROI
Betting now
154
open positions
Total traded
$12K
2 large trades
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 154
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
$7K
−$4K
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
$6K
+$1K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
$6K
+$995
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
$5K
+$48
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
$5K
−$3K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
$5K
+$120
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
$3K
+$62
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
$3K
+$600
If you’d copied DerDon
Betting a flat $100 on their last 20 settled bets:
+$1,736 (+87% on $2,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$99
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
WON
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
+$3K
WON
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during remarks at NASA?
+$1K
WON
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?
+$1K
WON
Will Trump say "SpaceX" during remarks at NASA?
+$877
WON
Will Warsh say "Payment System" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
+$849
WON
Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
+$554
WON
Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during remarks at NASA?
+$350
WON
Will Darline Graham win at least 75% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?
+$264
WON
Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
+$225
WON
Will Trump say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during remarks at NASA?
+$200
LOST
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
−$189
WON
Will Darline Graham win at least 65% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?
+$189
WON
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on August 28, 2026?
+$150
WON
Will Warsh say "Too Late" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
+$125