Iran leadership change by September 30?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 1, 2026
No98%
Yes2%

Whale money here is backing No$200K from 6 tracked whales.

Total volume
$1M
Liquidity
$130K
Whale volume
$200K
Whales tracked
6
Whale trades
12
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 98%now
100%96%92%
Aug 12 High 98% · Low 94% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of w...
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