Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Other · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Sep 1, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$51K from 2 tracked whales.

Total volume
$669K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$80K
Whales tracked
3
Whale trades
8
Whale buy pressure
63%
Probability — No 100%now
100%98%97%
Aug 11 High 100% · Low 99% Sep 1
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this mark...
Whales exiting
Sticky-Closing avatar Sticky-ClosingNo$7K
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