Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No93%
Yes8%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing No$37K from 2 tracked whales.

Total volume
$294K
Liquidity
$91K
Whale volume
$37K
Whales tracked
2
Whale trades
4
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 93%now
97%93%89%
Aug 12 High 95% · Low 91% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An ann...
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