Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
9%
13W · 139L settled
Profit & loss
−$77K
-52% ROI
Betting now
29
open positions
Total traded
$125K
16 large trades
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$27K
+$6K
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
$10K
+$2K
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
$6K
−$2K
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
$6K
+$1K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
$5K
+$3K
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
$1K
+$579
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
$1K
+$858
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
$1K
+$444
If you’d copied trashpilot
Betting a flat $100 on their last 50 settled bets:
−$3,104 (-62% on $5,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
LOST
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
−$13K
LOST
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
−$11K
LOST
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
−$10K
LOST
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
−$8K
LOST
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
−$8K
LOST
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
−$7K
WON
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
+$4K
LOST
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
−$3K
LOST
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
−$3K
WON
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
+$3K
LOST
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
−$2K
LOST
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
−$2K
WON
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
+$1K
WON
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
+$1K