NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Politics · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Sep 1, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$189K from 16 tracked whales.

Total volume
$2.1M
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$271K
Whales tracked
22
Whale trades
30
Whale buy pressure
77%
Probability — No 100%now
100%83%67%
Aug 12 High 100% · Low 73% Sep 1
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between NATO and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces...