Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
14%
3W · 19L settled
Profit & loss
−$415K
-70% ROI
Betting now
11
open positions
Total traded
$585K
35 large trades
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
$78K
−$768
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
$31K
−$750
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
$25K
−$6K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
$21K
+$2K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
$10K
−$206
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
$7K
+$1K
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$6K
+$2K
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
$3K
−$2K
If you’d copied betwick
Betting a flat $100 on their last 22 settled bets:
−$1,568 (-71% on $2,200 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
LOST
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
−$152K
LOST
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
−$73K
LOST
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
−$58K
WON
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
+$38K
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
−$30K
LOST
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
−$27K
LOST
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
−$17K
LOST
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
−$16K
WON
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
+$12K
WON
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
+$11K
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
−$11K
LOST
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
−$7K
LOST
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
−$6K
LOST
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
−$4K