NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No79%
Yes22%

Whale money here is backing Yes$8K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$1.8M
Liquidity
$31K
Whale volume
$36K
Whales tracked
2
Whale trades
2
Whale buy pressure
23%
Probability — No 79%now
84%68%53%
Aug 11 High 80% · Low 58% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between January 2, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between NATO and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and...
Whales entering
aenews2 avatar aenews2Yes$8K
Whales exiting
NeH avatar NeHNo$28K
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