Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
4%
5W · 131L settled
Profit & loss
−$414K
-72% ROI
Betting now
78
open positions
Total traded
$2M
68 large trades
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 78
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$78K
+$23K
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
$19K
+$263
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$14K
+$2K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
$10K
+$722
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
$7K
−$5K
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
$7K
−$699
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
$6K
−$4K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
$5K
−$5K
If you’d copied aenews2
Betting a flat $100 on their last 50 settled bets:
−$4,114 (-82% on $5,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
LOST
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs
−$116K
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
−$44K
LOST
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
−$26K
LOST
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
−$24K
LOST
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
−$17K
LOST
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
−$16K
LOST
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
−$15K
LOST
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?
−$12K
LOST
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?
−$12K
LOST
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
−$8K
LOST
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
−$8K
LOST
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
−$7K
LOST
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
−$7K
LOST
Kash Patel out by June 30?
−$7K