NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Nov 1, 2026
No92%
Yes9%

Whale money here is backing No$15K from 2 tracked whales.

Total volume
$439K
Liquidity
$49K
Whale volume
$22K
Whales tracked
3
Whale trades
3
Whale buy pressure
66%
Probability — No 92%now
99%78%57%
Aug 11 High 93% · Low 64% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between NATO and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces...
Whales exiting
MrYo avatar MrYoNo$8K
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