Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Dec 31, 2026
No81%
Yes20%
16 · Strong sell signal

Whale money here is backing No$427K from 21 tracked whales.

Total volume
$11.3M
Liquidity
$379K
Whale volume
$1.1M
Whales tracked
48
Whale trades
119
Whale buy pressure
67%
Probability — No 81%now
92%67%43%
Aug 11 High 85% · Low 51% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been pub...