US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Sep 30, 2026
Yes92%
No9%
Total volume
$198K
Liquidity
$49K
Whale volume
$27K
Whales tracked
4
Whale trades
4
Whale buy pressure
0%
Probability — Yes 92%now
99%73%48%
Sep 2 High 92% · Low 56% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred). The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day. This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed...
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