Live feedMarket
Yes100%
No0%
Whale money here is backing Yes — $54K from 3 tracked whales.
Total volume
$112K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$54K
Whales tracked
3
Whale trades
4
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — Yes
99%now
100%87%75%
Aug 11
High 99% · Low 80%
Aug 21
Recent whale trades 4
Cloverince
BUY
Yes
$18K
3w ago
Cloverince
BUY
Yes
$10K
3w ago
Seutervoinen
BUY
Yes
$22K
3w ago
0x955c…990f
BUY
Yes
$5K
3w ago
About this market
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.