WON Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? +$71K WON Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? +$57K LOST U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? −$42K LOST Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? −$37K LOST US government shutdown in 2025? −$33K LOST Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m? −$29K WON Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? +$26K LOST Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? −$25K LOST Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? −$21K WON Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? +$20K WON Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? +$19K LOST Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei −$19K LOST Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff? −$19K WON Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? +$18K