Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No77%
Yes23%

Whale money here is backing Yes$49K from 5 tracked whales.

Total volume
$1.7M
Liquidity
$40K
Whale volume
$74K
Whales tracked
8
Whale trades
9
Whale buy pressure
88%
Probability — No 77%now
86%69%52%
Aug 13 High 81% · Low 58% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip. Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as...
Whales exiting
Whole-Rating avatar Whole-RatingYes$974
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