Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
60%
18W · 12L settled
Profit & loss
−$12K
-3% ROI
Betting now
28
open positions
Total traded
$127K
15 large trades
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 28
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$173K
+$60K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$114K
−$60K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$24K
+$1K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$21K
+$5K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$20K
+$2K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
$17K
+$3K
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
$10K
+$786
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$7K
+$1K
If you’d copied eCash
Betting a flat $100 on their last 30 settled bets:
+$372 (+12% on $3,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
WON
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
+$31K
WON
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
+$24K
WON
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
+$16K
LOST
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
−$14K
WON
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
+$13K
WON
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
+$12K
WON
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
+$10K
WON
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
+$10K
LOST
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
−$5K
WON
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
+$4K
WON
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?
+$3K
LOST
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
−$3K
LOST
Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?
−$3K
LOST
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
−$2K