Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No93%
Yes7%
Total volume
$258K
Liquidity
$20K
Whale volume
$7K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
0%
Probability — No 93%now
96%88%80%
Aug 12 High 94% · Low 83% Sep 12
Recent whale trades 1
Gladius7 avatar Gladius7 SELL No $7K 1w ago
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Lyman, Donetsk Oblast, (48.990595° N, 37.805666° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Lyman will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist...
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Gladius7 avatar Gladius7No$7K
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