Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 1, 2026
No99%
Yes1%

Whale money here is backing No$142K from 7 tracked whales.

Total volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$73K
Whale volume
$175K
Whales tracked
10
Whale trades
16
Whale buy pressure
87%
Probability — No 99%now
100%97%95%
Aug 11 High 99% · Low 97% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito...
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