Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes83%
No18%

Whale money here is backing No$6K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$282K
Liquidity
$39K
Whale volume
$6K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — Yes 83%now
94%68%43%
Aug 11 High 87% · Low 51% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. The qualifying month will be the calendar month containing the date associated with the first qualifying data point published by IMF PortWatch. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of tra...
Whales entering
RememberAmalek avatar RememberAmalekNo$6K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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