Live feedMarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No100%
Yes0%
100 · Strong buy signal
Whale money here is backing No — $73K from 2 tracked whales.
Total volume
$654K
Liquidity
$283K
Whale volume
$73K
Whales tracked
2
Whale trades
3
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No
100%now
100%98%97%
Aug 17
High 100% · Low 99%
Sep 16
Recent whale trades 3
Kevin-Warsh
BUY
No
$53K
54m ago
lastminwin
BUY
No
$12K
7h ago
lastminwin
BUY
No
$8K
7h ago
About this market
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e....
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.