Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No93%
Yes8%
0 · Strong sell signal

Whale money here is backing No$321K from 18 tracked whales.

Total volume
$25.7M
Liquidity
$529K
Whale volume
$1.2M
Whales tracked
37
Whale trades
71
Whale buy pressure
32%
Probability — No 93%now
96%93%91%
Aug 12 High 94% · Low 93% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran. T...