Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 1, 2026
No99%
Yes1%

Whale money here is backing No$131K from 8 tracked whales.

Total volume
$4.8M
Liquidity
$280K
Whale volume
$160K
Whales tracked
11
Whale trades
13
Whale buy pressure
82%
Probability — No 99%now
100%98%96%
Aug 12 High 99% · Low 98% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.