Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No98%
Yes2%

Whale money here is backing No$12K from 2 tracked whales.

Total volume
$843K
Liquidity
$64K
Whale volume
$25K
Whales tracked
4
Whale trades
4
Whale buy pressure
46%
Probability — No 98%now
100%97%94%
Aug 12 High 98% · Low 96% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source wi...
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