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Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Politics · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Aug 15, 2026
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Yes100%
No0%

Whale money here is backing Yes — $6K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$200K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$22K
Whales tracked
2
Whale trades
3
Whale buy pressure
27%
Probability — Yes 100%now
100%98%97%
Aug 12 High 100% · Low 99% Aug 16
Recent whale trades 3
78979879879879 avatar 78979879879879 SELL Yes $8K 1mo ago 0x7f9e…3a0e avatar 0x7f9e…3a0e SELL Yes $8K 1mo ago 0x7f9e…3a0e avatar 0x7f9e…3a0e BUY Yes $6K 1mo ago
About this market
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will re...
Top holders live
hermanosisicomono avatar hermanosisicomonoNo$11K Renan14comcerteza avatar Renan14comcertezaNo$9K pirulirubeibe avatar pirulirubeibeNo$7K leonardohrmoura avatar leonardohrmouraNo$4K Voluminous-Recreation avatar Voluminous-RecreationNo$1K Flamboyant-Warming avatar Flamboyant-WarmingNo$1K HerrieDavis avatar HerrieDavisNo$726 kallbe avatar kallbeNo$719
Whales entering
No tracked buyers yet.
Whales exiting
78979879879879 avatar 78979879879879Yes$8K nojnn avatar nojnnYes$2K
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