Live feedMarket
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
No98%
Yes2%
100 · Strong buy signal
Whale money here is backing No — $16K from 2 tracked whales.
Total volume
$182K
Liquidity
$71K
Whale volume
$16K
Whales tracked
2
Whale trades
3
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No
98%now
100%94%88%
Aug 12
High 98% · Low 90%
Sep 12
Recent whale trades 3
R79dgahr
BUY
No
$6K
1d ago
forinnerpsandr1x11222
BUY
No
$5K
2w ago
forinnerpsandr1x11222
BUY
No
$6K
2w ago
About this market
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this...
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.