Live feedMarket
Yes100%
No0%
Whale money here is backing Yes — $26K from 2 tracked whales.
Total volume
$436K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$26K
Whales tracked
2
Whale trades
3
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — Yes
98%now
100%97%94%
Aug 11
High 98% · Low 96%
Aug 17
Recent whale trades 3
scout
BUY
Yes
$11K
3w ago
R79dgahr
BUY
Yes
$7K
4w ago
R79dgahr
BUY
Yes
$8K
1mo ago
About this market
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yabloko is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Russian authorities that prevents Yabloko from contesting the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections as a political party. This includes, but is not limited to: Yabloko being denied registration to contest the specified election,...
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.