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Careful-Bunch Sharp
0x122c…fbed
Active since Jul 14, 2026 · last trade 1 month ago
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Win rate
82%
65W · 14L settled
Profit & loss
+$5K
4% ROI
Betting now
172
open positions
Total traded
$288K
25 large trades
Recent results newest first
W L L L L L L L L L L L L L
Betting on now 172
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Yesbought 98¢ → 87¢
$4K
−$430
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?
Nobought 78¢ → 83¢
$2K
+$124
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?
Nobought 47¢ → 100¢
$2K
+$1K
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?
Nobought 89¢ → 100¢
$2K
+$215
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Yesbought 92¢ → 86¢
$2K
−$120
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Nobought 91¢ → 92¢
$2K
+$24
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Yesbought 91¢ → 83¢
$2K
−$174
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?
Nobought 91¢ → 95¢
$2K
+$65
If you’d copied Careful-Bunch

Betting a flat $100 on their last 50 settled bets:

+$381 (+8% on $5,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$36

Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.

Biggest settled results
LOST Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? −$469 WON Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee? +$426 WON Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? +$301 WON Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? +$152 WON Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee? +$126 WON Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 18? +$86 LOST Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? −$81 WON Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee? +$74 WON Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee? +$71 WON Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? +$62 LOST Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee? −$61 WON Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19? +$55 WON Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? +$50 WON Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 18? +$50