Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Business · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Jan 1, 2027
Yes100%
No0%

Whale money here is backing Yes$20K from 3 tracked whales.

Total volume
$328K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$20K
Whales tracked
3
Whale trades
3
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — Yes 100%now
100%76%53%
Aug 11 High 100% · Low 62% Sep 4
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recogniz...
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