Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
76%
26W · 8L settled
Profit & loss
−$79K
-50% ROI
Betting now
8
open positions
Total traded
$123K
8 large trades
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 8
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$40K
+$700
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
$19K
−$130
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
$13K
+$372
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$8K
−$8K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
$2K
−$495
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
$1K
−$85
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
$691
−$107
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$52
−$34
If you’d copied PolBandit
Betting a flat $100 on their last 34 settled bets:
+$1,785 (+53% on $3,400 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
WON
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
+$43K
WON
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
+$40K
LOST
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
−$33K
WON
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
+$31K
WON
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
+$26K
WON
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
+$20K
WON
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
+$18K
LOST
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
−$16K
WON
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
+$15K
WON
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
+$14K
WON
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
+$13K
LOST
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
−$13K
WON
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
+$11K
WON
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
+$9K