Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Politics · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Aug 13, 2026
Yes100%
No0%

Whale money here is backing Yes$310K from 12 tracked whales.

Total volume
$2M
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$485K
Whales tracked
17
Whale trades
29
Whale buy pressure
64%
Probability — Yes 100%now
100%98%97%
Aug 11 High 100% · Low 99% Aug 14
About this market
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council...