Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
7%
5W · 65L settled
Profit & loss
−$260K
-33% ROI
Betting now
23
open positions
Total traded
$5K
1 large trade
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$416K
+$27K
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
$84K
+$8K
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$17K
+$5K
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$4K
+$420
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$4K
−$2K
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
$2K
+$39
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
$1K
+$122
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
$1K
−$992
If you’d copied ololololololololo
Betting a flat $100 on their last 50 settled bets:
−$4,200 (-84% on $5,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
LOST
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
−$129K
LOST
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
−$21K
LOST
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
−$19K
LOST
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
−$17K
WON
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
+$17K
WON
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
+$11K
LOST
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
−$9K
LOST
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
−$7K
LOST
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
−$7K
LOST
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
−$7K
LOST
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
−$5K
LOST
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
−$5K
LOST
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
−$5K
LOST
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
−$5K