Live feedMarket
No85%
Yes16%
39 · Leaning sell
Whale money here is backing No — $3M from 91 tracked whales.
Total volume
$65.4M
Liquidity
$662K
Whale volume
$7.8M
Whales tracked
146
Whale trades
440
Whale buy pressure
53%
Probability — No
85%now
90%85%80%
Aug 11
High 88% · Low 82%
Sep 11
Recent whale trades 440
QuietRiskisWrong
SELL
No
$5K
10h ago
Doriath
SELL
No
$7K
12h ago
QuietRiskisWrong
SELL
No
$8K
17h ago
anoin123
SELL
No
$55K
20h ago
trashpilot
BUY
Yes
$6K
1d ago
QuietRiskisWrong
SELL
No
$9K
1d ago
Car
BUY
No
$15K
2d ago
78979879879879
SELL
No
$6K
2d ago
78979879879879
SELL
No
$5K
2d ago
0x7f9e…3a0e
SELL
No
$7K
3d ago
78979879879879
SELL
No
$9K
4d ago
Lamantinka
BUY
No
$6K
6d ago
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
