Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
4%
7W · 154L settled
Profit & loss
−$226K
-75% ROI
Betting now
24
open positions
Total traded
$181K
13 large trades
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$44K
+$6K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
$13K
−$4K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
$13K
−$12K
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
$6K
+$1K
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
$6K
−$4K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
$4K
+$950
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
$3K
+$306
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
$3K
−$2K
If you’d copied eightpenguins
Betting a flat $100 on their last 50 settled bets:
−$3,800 (-76% on $5,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
LOST
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
−$18K
WON
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
+$16K
LOST
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
−$15K
LOST
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
−$11K
LOST
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
−$11K
LOST
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs
−$8K
LOST
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
−$8K
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
−$7K
LOST
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
−$7K
LOST
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
−$7K
LOST
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
−$5K
LOST
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
−$5K
LOST
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
−$4K
WON
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?
+$4K