Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
19%
10W · 44L settled
Profit & loss
−$292K
-64% ROI
Betting now
118
open positions
Total traded
$5K
1 large trade
Recent results newest first
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
Betting on now 118
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$88K
−$11K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$34K
+$14K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$30K
−$19K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$13K
+$2K
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$5K
+$700
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$5K
+$2K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$4K
+$544
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
$3K
+$3K
If you’d copied failstober
Betting a flat $100 on their last 50 settled bets:
−$3,200 (-64% on $5,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
WON
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
+$29K
WON
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$23K
WON
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
+$20K
LOST
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
−$19K
LOST
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
−$13K
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
−$12K
LOST
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
−$12K
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
−$11K
LOST
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
−$8K
LOST
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
−$6K
LOST
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
−$5K
WON
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5
+$4K
LOST
Thunder vs. Spurs
−$3K
WON
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5
+$3K