Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
80%
8W · 2L settled
Profit & loss
+$9K
3% ROI
Betting now
11
open positions
Total traded
$18K
2 large trades
Recent results newest first
W
W
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L
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L
Betting on now 11
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$86K
+$7K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
$37K
+$495
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
$24K
+$685
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$20K
+$620
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
$20K
−$10
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
$15K
−$8
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$14K
+$225
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
$4K
+$2
If you’d copied keribit
Betting a flat $100 on their last 10 settled bets:
+$503 (+50% on $1,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
WON
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
+$40K
WON
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
+$22K
WON
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
+$20K
WON
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
+$20K
WON
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
+$143
LOST
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
−$82
LOST
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
−$71
WON
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
+$20
WON
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
+$2
WON
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
+$1