Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
2%
4W · 201L settled
Profit & loss
−$2.8M
-74% ROI
Betting now
47
open positions
Total traded
$604K
46 large trades
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$203K
+$9K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
$158K
+$15K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
$105K
+$158
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$100K
+$56K
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$81K
+$12K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
$38K
+$2K
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$34K
+$16K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$33K
+$8K
If you’d copied wan123
Betting a flat $100 on their last 50 settled bets:
−$4,600 (-92% on $5,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
−$397K
LOST
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
−$147K
LOST
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
−$136K
LOST
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
−$129K
LOST
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
−$119K
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
−$116K
LOST
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
−$75K
LOST
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
−$73K
LOST
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
−$67K
LOST
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
−$67K
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
−$56K
LOST
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
−$51K
LOST
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
−$46K
LOST
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
−$46K