U
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Politics · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Aug 31, 2026
Yes100%
No0%

Whale money here is backing Yes$173K from 10 tracked whales.

Total volume
$1.9M
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$192K
Whales tracked
12
Whale trades
24
Whale buy pressure
93%
Probability — Yes 100%now
100%97%94%
Aug 11 High 100% · Low 96% Aug 12
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred). The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day. This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is compl...